Harness Analyst | New Zealand Trotting Cup Day special 2026
Harness Analyst | New Zealand Trotting Cup Day special 2026
Welcome to today’s segment from our harness racing analyst.
Providing you with free expert tips and selections for harness meetings run in New Zealand.
Cup Day is the centrepiece of New Zealand harness racing, and Addington has assembled a 13-race programme headlined by the $800,000 Go Media New Zealand Trotting Cup and the $400,000 Renwick Farms Dominion.
The two-mile features bring together proven champions, rising local stars and powerful Australian visitors..
Race 1 — SAUNDERS ROBINSON BROWN HANDICAP TROT
Harness Analyst selections: 1. Axel Rose · 2. One El · 3. Lauzelle · 4. Dynasty
1. 1 70X343 — Koko Kaboom — Good at Winton off 10m and moves up to the front line. 3rd in this race last year
2. 165402 — Luvavici — Chased hard at Kaikoura and lands into a very suitable ratings band. In the mix with a good beginning
3. 456734 — Brett’s Mate — Manners always get him thereabouts early. But some here look too strong. Risking
4. XD1253 — To The Moon And Back — Formed a handy record and manners have improved. Could suit a strong 3200m
5. 91PX40 — Lauzelle ★★— A strong trial win recently. Not foolproof, but her speed gives her an upset chance at the right price
6. 8X2023 — Dynasty ★— Has been in form down south and brings genuine speed to this contest. Manners a concern
7. 627415 — One El ★★★— His October win was followed by another honest performance at Ashburton. Chance at odds
8. 10X269 — Donna’s Boy — Mixed in 3 starts back despite nice trial form. Good beginner with winning claims
9. 600X81 — Rogue Hero — Delivered on potential with easy Kaikoura win. Tough to beat if the same mood.
10. X10010 — Penelope Lane — Forgettable trip to Kaikoura but showed true worth down south. Might take some catching
11. 124476 — The Royal Gamble — Requiring more at the business end in last two starts. Grinder who needs the pace on.
12. 1X9380 — Axel Rose ★★★★— The Ashburton mistake is best forgiven after a smart trial win last week. Can win
13. 7180X0 — Makaku — Well back at trials after finding trouble at Ashburton. Prepared to risk here.
14. 309154 — Pyramid Rose — Improving efforts since her early October success. Prefer over a shorter trip.
15. 6X1168 — Tactical Bid — Scratched
16. 218795 — Paris Prince — Middling outings since his August win. Outside chance at best
17. 869X73 — Ah Dinnae Ken — Did plenty of work down south off 30m. Handicap hurts, but ‘those southern horses’
18. 17P300 — He Aint Fakin — Scratched
Race 2 — 1EQUINE AUSTRALASIAN YOUNG DRIVER CHAMPS (HEAT 10) MOB PACE
Harness Analyst selections: 1. Captains Secret · 2. Rising Storm · 3. Zarlini · 4. Ward Lamon
1. 444630 — Dave Duley — Just OK when clear at Kaikoura. Drawn to get a soft run in the race. Roughy
2. 215174 — Rising Storm ★★★— Brings solid southern form into his first Addington appearance. Drawn well and can upset
3. 207X11 — Captains Secret ★★★★— Two wins since resuming show he has returned in good order. In form and go again
4. 444012 — Brookies Player — Scratched
5. 731111 — Ward Lamon ★— Four consecutive wins make him impossible to dismiss. Rise in difficulty, but his confidence is high
6. 284156 — Choco Lou — Nice grass win in early September and honest since. Outside place hope looks best
7. 981402 — The Bettor Major — Made up plenty here in a midweek meeting 14 Oct. Will get back and hard to see him winning
8. 647407 — My Wingman — Late scratching at Kaikoura after copping a check. Better than the form suggests. One for odds
9. 709287 — Mystery Beach — Battled at Kaikoura but a considerable drop back in grade. Not suited by the mobile start
10. 342321 — Zoom X — Did the job in front at Kaikoura. Tricky draw but not the worst
11. 031383 — Matai Harry — Scratched
12. 526X94 — Zarlini ★★— Did not get the room she needed late here on 21 October. The 2nd row draw is no gift, but a chance
Race 3 — MITRE 10 TROT
Harness Analyst selections: 1. Frazzled · 2. Amistozo · 3. Flying Dreams · 4. Almighty
1. 80851P — Father Mike — Got it wrong down south, so inside draw may not suit. Upset claims if he can trail all the way
2. 575621 — Amistozo ★★★— Won convincingly at Kaikoura and appears to have found another suitable assignment
3. 213734 — Swift Dream — Still to taste success here, but brings very reliable credentials here. Outside place hope
4. 63146X — Flying Dreams ★★— Won at this distance in July and returned with an encouraging third at the Cup trials. Chance
5. 322X11 — Aldebaran Lobell — Asked for little at 04 Nov trial since looking powerful in the spring. Can not discount the form.
6. D11 — Moeraki — Scratched
7. 415526 — Sheep — Scratched
8. 176692 — Almighty ★— Her latest Timaru second was a welcome return to form. Place claims if at her peak for this
9. 1X3051 — Maroubra — Bonus run in grade after 23 Oct win at long odds. Can keep improving but some here are better
10. 5430X1 — Natives Inferno — Overcame slow start to score at Kaikoura. Need a good run in transit to place here
11. 88X741 — A Reason To Fight — Ended 11-month drought with R35-40 win last month. Risking against a better field here
12. 39212P — Mumsdawitch — Scratched
13. 499403 — Kracka Looka — Handy 3rd as favourite at Oamaru. Races well when in form and outside place chance
14. 600171 — Glendhu Mischief — Traipses north after finding his feet nicely in the spring. Southern horse do well here
15. 12621 — Franco Light — Eyecatching 18 Oct win at Oamaru. Rise in grade no issue and could surprise.
16. 513X62 — Frazzled ★★★★— Was only just run down here in late October and has been racing consistently. Win chance.
17. 231422 — Gasherbrum — 2nd to Duchess Maria reads well here. One for longer odds
18. 951109 — Makani — Manners have let him down since back-to-back wins. Would need everything to go his way to figure
Race 4 — HYDROFLOW MOBILE PACE
Harness Analyst selections: 1. Giorgio Denario · 2. Nikolai Ray · 3. Lizzie Borden · 4. Last Honours
1. 362187 — Nikolai Ray ★★★— Has been facing useful opposition and now draws the inside gate. Good winning claims
2. 44X370 — Lizzie Borden ★★— Ashburton run was better than it looks after she struggled for clear running. Sharp trial since
3. 061030 — Rakero Maximus — Scratched
4. X80519 — Sofia Rose — Very gritty effort at Timaru but this looks a stronger field than that. Prepared to risk
5. 646741 — Hi Hopes — Back to her best with midweek win here 14 Oct. Up in grade for this and only a rough place hope
6. 031383 — Matai Harry — Doesn’t win out of turn here, but solid as always at Kakoura. Wet track might be in his favour
7. 242186 — Giorgio Denario ★★★★— Set the pace in a stronger 3yo race on 16 October and good at the trials. Top selection
8. 16X966 — B B King — Steady efforts in three starts back without standing out. Stable respect on premier days
9. 885173 — Bacchus — OK from 2nd row draw 23 Oct. Wide draw hurts his chances
10. 431430 — Last Honours ★— Did himself no favours in the middle stages last time. The 2nd row draw requires patience
11. 2132 — Aardie’s Memphis — 2nd to Captain Wolf should frank well here and place hope again with a cosy run in transit
12. X88032 — Stumpy Blackler — Gave a sight after early zip at Kaikoura. This looks harder and draw not great
13. 260846 — Lous Pinup Girl — Raced much better than her price at Ashburton again quality fillies. Too tough from the draw
Race 5 — AOTEA ELECTRIC HANDICAP TROT
Harness Analyst selections: 1. Tactical Bid · 2. Tarragindi · 3. Princess Sadie · 4. Freya
1. 131888 — Major Doosie — Just fair with trio of 8ths since his R46-60 win here in August. Roughy
2. 6X1168 — Tactical Bid ★★★★— Has the engine to compete with these and if he trots all the way can win this. Include
3. 46X010 — Dreams Pat — Never really fired a shot at Kaikoura. Big motor but needs manners to figure here
4. 653885 — Maui — Putting in very earnest attempts and this field is more in his range.
5. 232X22 — Freya ★— Has finished runner-up in both starts this preparation, going down to horses she meets again. Place
6. 17P300 — He Aint Fakin — Back to the scene of his big Cup Day win last year.
7. 036X07 — Rata — Better at last week trials after moderate runs this spring.
8. 321243 — Very Majestic — Doing little wrong this time in.
9. 3X7321 — Princess Sadie ★★— Last win was impressive and she arrives in strong form. 20m handicap hurts. Needed
10. 221051 — Tarragindi ★★★— Produced an excellent staying effort to win off a big handicap down south. Looks capable
11. 1X8777 — Rock Lobster — Taken on stronger fields recently and hasn’t been outclassed. Roughy
12. X34006 — Resolve — Worked closer late at the trials after Ashburton 6th. Outside place claims
Race 6 — GARRARDS HORSE & HOUND MOBILE PACE
Harness Analyst selections: 1. Franco Ankara · 2. Franco Lennon · 3. Easton Doll · 4. Cinderella Franco
1. 135X16 — Admor Ella — Recovered at Kaikoura after an error. Draw suits and has top three claims
2. 121224 — Easton Doll ★★— Her recent effort behind a top filly reads very well for this grade. Drawn to secure a good trip
3. 218496 — Foliejon Star — Battled away here 23 Oct.
4. PX1125 — Asymmetric Return — Scratched
5. 131067 — Franco Ankara ★★★★— Has been taking on stronger three-year-old opposition and top selection in this field
6. 9X0015 — The Coalman — Knows his way around after 68 starts here. Need the right trip to figure in this
7. 203X32 — Cinderella Franco ★— Has been held back by second-row draws in both runs since resuming. Can improve
8. X41736 — Still B Miki — Early effort took its toll at Kaikoura after gate speed from this draw. Prepared to risk
9. 32X552 — Franco Lennon ★★★— Improving with every run back and was brave here on 23 October. Stable respect
10. 689234 — Gotta Elect Bill — Ended up in a similar spot at Kaikoura that he’ll likely get here.
11. 151237 — Sriracha — On course debut and some here look better. Will need luck
12. 552110 — Heaven — Tricky draw and disappointing last start. Stable in form but big turnaround needed
13. 500041 — Woodlea Rocks — Used tactical early speed for 23 Oct win. Will not get that here
Race 7 — TYRE GENERAL JUNIOR FREE-FOR-ALL (MOBILE PACE) (Gr2)
Harness Analyst selections: 1. Rubira · 2. Dreams Are Free · 3. Double Jeopardy · 4. Always Be Batman
1. 238X85 — Rakero Rocket — Scratched
2. 14866X — Double Jeopardy ★★— Returns from a spell after leading throughout a recent trial. Fitness under race pressure is the question
3. X23511 — Always Be Batman ★— Arrives in excellent form after a stylish victory in the Aged Pace. His confidence is high and worth including
4. 67X416 — Taketheplunge — Did it tough here 16 Oct. Rough hope in this
5. X15607 — Rubira ★★★★— Drops in grade after tackling some of the country’s best pacers. He has shown early gate speed and can go close
6. 3X8332 — Iron Brigade — Did it tough at Kaikoura but never flinched.
7. 154108 — Dreams Are Free ★★★— Recent standing starts have not suited him and the return to mobile conditions is a significant positive.
8. X66101 — Haley Jaccka — Prepped for this with smart win off 30m down south.
9. 7457X7 — Smoke On The Water — In need of the run when resuming in Kaikoura Cup.
10. 23790X — Franco Marek — Not seen at the races since October 2025.
Race 8 — NEVELE R 3YO FILLIES SERIES FINAL (MOBILE PACE) (Gr1)
Harness Analyst selections: 1. Indulge Me · 2. Secret Wish · 3. All Of Me · 4. Fly High
1. 3X2474 — Cath — Solid trial 2nd following on from Ashburton. In the right spot to pot them late
2. 30X532 — All Of Me ★— Has been very consistent in three runs back despite not winning since last Cup Week. Place claims
3. 56X330 — Miki’s Deal — Nice pair of 3rds in first 2 spring starts. Some here look too strong
4. 112P11 — Fly High ★★— Brings a different form line after a successful northern campaign. Winning regularly and is capable of upsetting
5. 112211 — Indulge Me ★★★★— Has won her last two and gets a significant barrier advantage over Cherish Me this time. Her speed a big assett
6. 191X12 — Secret Wish ★★★— Looked full of promise in her spring appearances and was kept ticking over with a quiet but encouraging trial.
7. 511225 — Ride The Waves — Tried hard behind Cherish Me 09 Oct. Draw hurts here
8. 212032 — Nansana — Nice confidence boost here 23 Oct. Hard to see her troubling these
9. X31801 — Mattie Nevin — Joined in smartly here 23 Oct but draw gods haven’t smiled on here today. Risking
10. 366225 — Queen Lizzy — Gritty attempts back in grade racing recently but this is harder. Fence runner who will rely on gaps
11. 113305 — The Queens Gambit — Scratched
12. 113273 — Ripples — Draw hasn’t panned out today but plenty to like about Ashburton 3rd. Upset claims
13. 132607 — Song Of Seas — Rattled home behind top filly at Ashburton. Will be running on if the pace is hot.
14. 242211 — Dolly Parton — Scratched
15. 1X2211 — Cherish Me — Handed a tough draw but she’s so incredibly adaptable. Can not discount her here
Race 9 — WOODLANDS STUD SIRES’ STAKES SERIES 2YO FINAL (MOB PACE) (Gr1)
Harness Analyst selections: 1. Faith Not Fear · 2. Tour Party · 3. Lucky Luka · 4. Bamm Bamm
1. 1113 — Faith Not Fear ★★★★— Had no luck when third on 9 October and then flew in a trial win on 4 November. Top selection to win this
2. 42X115 — Captain Wolf — Announced himself with 09 Oct win here. Might struggle in this grade.
3. 5X3412 — Bamm Bamm ★— Followed his maiden victory with an encouraging effort in stronger company. Has genuine place prospects.
4. X21511 — Tour Party ★★★— Back to his best with successive wins in strong company, including the Harness Millions. Needed here
5. 2216 — Scoundrel — Massive win here 02 Oct and was running home from well back at Ashburton. Top four hope
6. 111354 — Lucky Luka ★★— Has been brave in both recent southern outings and could be ready to peak. Any rain will aid his chances
7. 4X010 — A Mako Man — Didn’t give up at Ashburton but has several big guns drawn inside him.
8. 682700 — The Visionary — Well contained recently and yields early position from this draw. Not liked
9. 5X18 — Captain Tui — Not bad when getting room at Ashburton. Should get a soft run here. Roughy
10. 4X3273 — Patriot — Still a maiden, but earning his stripes behind Tour Party recently. Fringe place hope
11. 2X3347 — Tactacool — Honest enough with gaps in good company recently. Prepared to risk in this
12. X62362 — Coal Fire — Just 0.2 lengths from Tour Party at Ashburton, but can’t use gate speed here. Outside place hope looks best
Race 10 — RENWICK FARMS DOMINION (STAND TROT) (Gr1)
Dominion Trot — feature analysis
The 3200m standing start makes early manners and position crucial. Defending champion Gus (#12) returns after an easy Queensland win and remains the benchmark on his best form, although a second-row draw gives him more work to do than some of his rivals. Mr Love (#3) is particularly interesting: his Rowe Cup victory confirms he stays the trip, and his front-row position offers a tactical advantage. Higher Power (#8) is improving and normally steps quickly, while Prestigious (#14) is the progressive threat who could rise to the occasion.
Harness Analyst assessment: Gus is the horse to beat on class; Mr Love is the main tactical danger, with Higher Power and Prestigious worth including in wider combinations. The first 400 metres could be decisive.
Harness Analyst selections: 1. Gus · 2. Mr Love · 3. Higher Power · 4. Prestigious
1. 2X3231 — Tetrick(AUS) — Deserved his Kaikoura win and can position up nicely here. Big step up in grade but can stay
2. 221051 — Tarragindi — Scratched
3. 1X5202 — Mr Love ★★★— A proven two-mile performer with a Rowe Cup victory to his name. The front-row draw is a significant advantage. Include
4. 250394 — Dash Dosh — Zippy mare when peeling out for one run. Can dash late
5. X54305 — Walkinonsunshine — OK efforts in two October runs. This looks a bridge too far
6. 412248 — Gotfeelingsyouknow — Good enough to run 2nd in the Interdoms. Under rated and could surprise
7. 198411 — Bravehearthighlander — Surprise package of the spring since heading back south. Place hope
8. 19X112 — Higher Power ★★— Has been progressing well and can sustain a strong run when the tempo is genuine. Likely leader early
9. X34006 — Resolve — Scratched
10. X02433 — Nellie Doyle — Very reliable against good fields through the spring.
11. 570642 — George Eliot — Worked her way into this field with bold Kaikoura 2nd.
12. 1141X1 — Gus ★★★★— The defending Dominion champion returned with a comfortable Queensland victory and is the class benchmark. Top selection
13. 841209 — Rockinwithattitude — Never happy on the Kaikoura bends.
14. PX2111 — Prestigious ★— A progressive trotter stepping into the biggest test of his career. He still has something to prove at this level, but has upside.
15. 81X312 — Habibti Pat — Talented mare who has won a trial off 30m since her 09 Oct 2nd.
16. X56254 — Bounce N Beyond — Not doing too much wrong in his 5 starts back. This is harder and prepared to risk
17. 1X8777 — Rock Lobster — Scratched
18. 86X536 — Meant To Be — Yet to find his best form since resuming. Stable will have him ready to run a strong 3200m
Race 11 — AVON CITY FORD MOBILE PACE
Harness Analyst selections: 1. Sonofamistery · 2. Secret Beach · 3. Roger That · 4. The Jolly Roger
1. 065120 — Quinn — Not at his best 23 Oct, but possesses a handy sprint if saved for one run.
2. 904771 — Auntie Deb — Comfy win at Kaikoura but will find the grade rise testing. Hard to se him figuring here
3. 113X28 — Roger That ★★— Has winning form at Addington and can produce a competitive effort when conditions suit.
4. 481759 — Semba — Couldn’t go on after sitting parked at Kaikoura but give another chance here.
5. 127256 — Secret Beach ★★★— Better than the form suggests and draw suits. Should run out a strong race here. Winning claims
6. 925235 — The Jolly Roger ★— Has enough ability to surprise if the race develops in his favour. Needs a strong race tempo and can finish quickly
7. 1X1693 — Treacherous Dreams — Scratched
8. 37X521 — Sonofamistery ★★★★— Has been racing in great form and will head forward. Likely winner if he can control the race from the front.
9. 8X6258 — Bazooka — Went back from this draw 23 Oct.
10. 411800 — Scrunch — Draws haven’t gone his way recently. Might lack gaps
11. 285524 — Sacetas — Fought well enough at Kaikoura and can run a strong last 800m. One for odds
12. 231434 — Nothing But You — Consistent mare who did some work at Ashburton. place claims with a cart into the race
13. 545475 — Amaretto Franco — Putting in steady shifts since last success in June. Has speed but tricky draw
Race 12 — GO MEDIA NEW ZEALAND TROTTING CUP (STAND PACE) (Gr1)
New Zealand Trotting Cup — feature analysis
This is a fascinating clash of three Australian heavyweights against a deep New Zealand contingent. Leap To Fame (#8) brings outstanding recent form and the stamina to sustain a long run. He was narrowly denied in this race last year and looks the rightful top selection, but a standing start over 3200m leaves little margin for an early mistake. Swayzee (#6) has already won this Cup twice and arrives off successive wins. His proven staying record and favourable front-row position make him the most obvious danger. Defending champion Kingman (#4) has shown signs of returning to his best and has the draw to secure an economical early position. Among the locals, Marketplace (#11) has produced excellent closing sectionals, but his second-row position makes the race shape important. Merlin (#16) and Better Knuckle Up (#13) are capable of running into the finish with luck.
Likely race shape: Australian runners have the advantage over several talented New Zealanders drawn behind them and will make it hard for the NZ contingent to run them down if they get their own way in front.
Harness Analyst selections: 1. Leap To Fame · 2. Kingman · 3. Swayzee · 4. Better Knuckle Up
1. 214398 — Minos — Couldn’t go on after early work at Kaikoura.
2. X51186 — Franco Sinatra — Kicked off spring well before moderate runs in last two.
3. 264233 — Mo’unga — Bold efforts out wide in the closing stages and he’s flying.
4. 68X824 — Kingman ★★★— Last year’s Cup winner has been building towards another big performance. The front-row draw ideal. Include
5. X15607 — Rubira — Scratched
6. 33X411 — Swayzee ★★— A two-time winner of this race who arrives in winning form. His proven ability over two miles makes him an obvious danger
7. 635694 — Tact McLeod — Nice confidence booster when 4th at Kaikoura.
8. 121111 — Leap To Fame ★★★★— The champion brings outstanding staying credentials and was narrowly denied in this race last year. Can win
9. 345974 — Renegade — Starting to run on with purpose recently.
10. 60X362 — Republican Party — Dug in bravely for Kaikoura Cup 2nd.
11. 312122 — Marketplace — Amazing sectionals at Ashburton.
12. 472641 — Wild Willow — Scratched
13. 66X212 — Better Knuckle Up ★— Has prepared well through the spring and finished fourth in this race last year. Tricky draw but needed
14. X32556 — It’s Tough — Run of plain luck through spring campaign.
15. 1P2713 — Bettors Anvil — Proved to be a nice follower of speed.
16. 30X421 — Merlin — Followed up Alex Park win in small field with nice Cup trial.
17. 2X1141 — The Lazarus Effect — Great manners negated by this draw.
18. 154108 — Dreams Are Free — Scratched
Race 13 — GOLD BAND TAXIS MOBILE PACE
Harness Analyst selections: 1. Captain Tyron · 2. Wishing For U · 3. Marble Arch · 4. The Queens Gambit
1. 337835 — Captain Tyron ★★★★— Has been settling back in his recent races but now draws the ace. His speed gives him a genuine chance to figure.
2. 242211 — Dolly Parton — Really worked it all out as a late 3-year-old.
3. X21002 — Marble Arch ★★— Worked hard and kept fighting all the way last start. Good draw should allow another prominent run. Major contender
4. 302148 — Dawn To Dark — Under pressure a fair way out at Kaikoura.
5. 138489 — Heaven’s Mark — Tried hard from wide draw at Kaikoura.
6. 115204 — Seaside Brucie — Scratched
7. 1969X5 — Bettor Go Vinnie — Steady enough when finding a nice spot at Kaikoura.
8. X73790 — Ebony Arden — Covered plenty of ground at Timaru.
9. 315333 — Cheer The Captain — Doing little wrong from a variety of draws.
10. 113305 — The Queens Gambit — Should be improved by her first run back in NZ. The second-row draw needs negotiating, but she has the ability
11. X02058 — John Stewart — Grabbed late after leading 04 Nov trials.
12. 141X15 — Wishing For U ★★★— Made up plenty of ground last start. The second-row draw is a challenge, but he should be finishing strongly.
13. X22161 — Queen Tyron ★— Smart in front at Timaru despite 10m handicap.
14. 436158 — Lonnekers — Broke stride late at Kaikoura.
Cup Day best bets and value watch
Best bet — Race 9, #1 Faith Not Fear: Unbeaten in his first three starts before an unlucky third, then sharp in a 4 November trial. Looks well placed.
Best value watch — Race 7, #5 Rubira: Big drop in class for this and ready to improve from a favourable barrier. Stable respect and could be over the odds
To boost the multiples —
Race 1, #4 To The Moon And Back: Looks a good stayer and form is encouraging
Race 2, #2 Rising Storm: Southern horses do well on Cup Day. Going well enough
Race 3, #17 Gasherbrum: Another Southerner who is getting better with racing
Race 4, #10 Last Honours: Might end up in the right spot if the pace is on
Race 5, #6 He Aint Fakin: Needs manners but a chance at odds if he steps
Race 6, #1 Ardmor Ella: Will get a good sit on the fence. One for odds
Race 7, #4 Taketheplunge: Needs the pace on but could surprise at odds
Race 8, #10 Song Of Seas: Better than the form suggests. Will be running on
Race 9, #10 Patriot: Could land a spot three deep the fence with luck. Place hope
Race 10, #6 Gotfeelingsyouknow: Underrated Aussie who could surprise with the right trip
Race 11, #11 Sacetas: Will get a soft trip and will finish on if the pace is good
Race 12, #16 Merlin: Has been close up the last two running of this race. Needed
Race 13, #2 Dolly Patron: Punching above her weight and draw well. Not the worst here
For complete race entries, click here.
- Categories
- New Zealand, International, Top 4
- Tags
- Harness Analyst, New Zealand Harness Racing
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