Gil Winston prior winners and Big M - Fhld analysis

The objective of this analysis is to identify horses with plus or minus evaluations that are not identifiable in the past performances. Horses whose races are accurately captured in the past performances are not captured here, regardless of how well or poorly they may have raced. Consider all races without comment as WUSIWUG – an acronym for What U See (in past performances) Is What U Get. Some races may identify multiple horses that scored, while other races are clearly defined in the past performances, and no horse is scored. These unscored horses all had clearance in the pivotal part of the stretch, or no undue exertion earlier in the race that was not captured in the past performances.

These scores do not indicate must-bet or must-toss the next time they race because other handicapping factors will come into play. But these scores give the bettor a huge edge in what is frequently the most important factor when making betting decisions and many scored horses have been coming in with generous payouts in their next races.

The highest $2 win payout was for VANDALISM who paid $188 for a $2 wager on 12-29 at The Meadowlands. He had been scored with “clear too late with some pace” in his previous start there. See the HARNESSLINK.COM article published on 12-29. That was the biggest price, but there have been many more long prices (including cold exactas, and even one cold trifecta with three scored horses ended up in the same race).

Do not assume scored horses will race the following week. Here is the best way to profit from this analysis. On the day you are wagering on races from either Freehold or The Meadowlands, go to the HARNESSLINK.COM site and click on my name at the bottom of any of my articles. This will open up the list of all the articles. For horses that show lines that pique your interest.

Find the article that analyzes the races for that day, then search for the horse. If the horse has a positive score, you know the horse is better than the pp line shows. Click on other weeks that the horse raced if the most recent race does not complete the story for you. This will give you access to all analysis.

If you want to track horses that “sneak out of town” save the scored horses in your virtual stable when they first show up in the analyses. Tracking shippers is not part of this analysis, but some will be identified on occasion.

This week’s winners that were identified in previous analyses

Yonkers 2-12                      Race 4                  MACH N CHEESE              $ 8.20    Scored +2 in his last start at Freehold. Impossible spot from the 8-hole his next start at YR. Was an easy winner from the pole position this week.

M’lands 2-16                     Race 7                  BULLVILE KARLA $ 4.60 Scored last start at M’lands

M’lands 2-16                     Race 12                BINGO BRAIN                    $ 9.40 Scored last start at M’lands

M’lands 2-16                     Race 14                OUTSIDE THE FIRE           $ 3.60 Scored +2 in his last start at M’lands

Freehold 2-17                   Race 5                  DARK POOL                        $22.20 Scored last start at Freehold

Pocono  2-17                      Race 4                  RIFLEMAN                          $ 7.00 Scored last start at M’lands

M’lands 2-17                     Race 8                  MIDNIGHT THUNDER      $ 3.20 Scored last start at M’lands

Meadowlands Qualifiers 2-17

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             2 PENCILS DOWN             1             Dug in her own when challenged at wire

3             6 CAPTAIN CAVEMAN      1             Responded with strong close when given clearance

3             7 AMERICAN WAY            2             Strong hold through stretch

5             4 GRAY DRAGON              1             Lineup behind winner

5             7 MINDTRIP                       2             Lineup, had more pace

Meadowlands 2-16

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

2             7 BRIGHT EXPECTATION  1             Never clear

3             8 LACHIE MAGUIRE N     1             Clear too late, some pace

5             8 MV OK PALACIO BR      2             Race was over before he got clearance, 3rd straight excuse

5             9 THENDRFRMTHETHRON N 1     Out of the race with some pace – lineup

6             3 SPEAK YOUR MIND       1             Clear too late with some pace

6             5 UPTOWN LADY N          1             Checked, clear too late some pace

7             2 COOLNCALCULATING N 1          Blocked with pace

7             8 URSULA BLUE CHIP      1             Tight quarters in stretch, clear too late

8             2 RACING RENEGADE      1             Blocked on inside

Meadowlands 2-17        

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             10 PRINCE MCARDLE N  1             Very wide most of first quarter

2             8 BADDITUDE                    1             Clear 2 late, winner after wire

3             6 TERRE HAUTE                1             Lineup to the wire

4             9 ELM GROVE QWIGGLY 2             3-wide most of quarter, weave, check, dangling headpole

5             5 ER VEGAS                        1             Clear too late, winner after wire

5             9 LYONS PRIDE                  2             Most pace between, no room

7             3 WARRAWEE TOTAL       2             Blocked with plenty, looked like winner if clear

10           6 AMERICAN DEALER N  2             Plenty of pace in fast last eighth

10           9 IDEAL FEELING              1             Race was over before he got a lane

11           5 NEXTROUNDSONME    1             Blocked, 3rs straight excuse

11           10 GLOBAL BELIEVER S   2             Blocked with trot between

Freehold  2-16                         

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

2             7 BEST CHOICE                 3             Blocked between, was the best in the race

5             5 LINCOLN’S GIRL N         1             Blocked with pace

8             3 DINGLE                            1             Blindswitch, taken out, came on late

8             6 EMPEREURTHEBEST FR 1           Most trot when clear

9             5 CINCO SENORITA N      1             Weak 3rd quarter, then most pace in lane

10           2 ALWAYS AS FAST            1             Never clear with pace

Freehold  2-17                  *** Off track, times compromised ***

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

2             2 VALENTINE HUNTER    1             Gapped early, but strong close

3             6 DEEDENUTO A               1             Weaved into traffic

5             8 ALLINDOTIME                1             Most trot in lane

6             5 CENTURY INGLESIAS    2             Weaved with a lot of pace

7             3 GAIUS CRASTINUS        1             Weaved into lineup, may have had a little more

8             5 ONTO EL DORADO N   2             Good pace in traffic

11           4 KEEPAMERICAGREAT    2             Weaved with a lot of pace

12           8 COLT FOURTY ONE       1             Had an easier trip than line suggests, but was not clear in stretch

by Gil Winston, for Harnesslink