Gil Winston: Meadowlands & Freehold analysis

The objective of this analysis is to identify harness racing horses with plus or minus evaluations that are not identifiable in the past performances. Horses whose races are accurately captured in the past performances are not captured here, regardless of how well or poorly they may have raced.

Consider all races without comment as WUSIWUG – an acronym for What U See (in past performances) Is What U Get. Some races may identify multiple horses that are scored, while other races are clearly defined in the past performances, and no horse is scored. These unscored horses all had clearance in the pivotal part of the stretch, and no uncharted exertion earlier.

These scores do not indicate must-bet or must-toss the next time they race because other handicapping factors will come into play. But these scores give the bettor a huge edge in what is frequently the most important factor when making betting decisions and many scored horses have been coming in with generous payouts in their next races.

The highest $2 win payout was for VANDALISM who paid $188 for a $2 wager on 12-29 at The Meadowlands. He had been scored with “clear too late with some pace” in his previous start there. See the HARNESSLINK.COM article published on 12-29. That was the biggest price, but there have been many more long prices (including cold exactas, and even one cold trifecta when three scored horses ended up in the same race).

You cannot assume scored horses will race the following week. Here is the best way to profit from this analysis. On the day you are wagering on races from either Freehold or The Meadowlands, go to the HARNESSLINK.COM site and click on my name at the bottom of any of my articles.

This will open up the list of all the articles. For horses that show lines that pique your interest. Find the article that analyzes the races for that day, then search for the horse. If the horse has a positive score, you know the horse is better than the pp line shows. Click on other weeks that the horse raced if the most recent race does not complete the story for you. This will give you access to all analysis.

If you want to track horses that “sneak out of town” save the scored horses in your virtual stable when they first show up in the analyses. If you are playing another track and you see a horse with Freehold or Meadowlands lines, you can find the race dates at HARNESSLINK.COM and see if the horse had been scored on that date. Tracking shippers is not part of this analysis, but some will be identified on occasion.

This week’s winners that were identified in previous analyses

Yonkers                3-12       Race 2                  IDEALINFUN                      $27.80 Scored in last race at M’lands

IDEALINFUN REPLAY

M’lands                3-15       Race 2                  KINESIOLOGY                    $ 3.00 Scored in qualifier

M’lands                3-15       Race 4                  BIONIC                                $ 5.60 Scored +2 in last, second straight excuse line

Freehold              3-16       Race 4                  CURBSIDE PICKUP            $ 5.00 Scored in last

Freehold              3-16       Race 12                HOLY GRAIL N                   $ 4.80 Scored in last

M’lands                3-16       Race 13                FLIRTIN JK                          $ 8.80 Scored multiple times this meet and/or won. Did not like off-tracks the past two weeks.

Meadowlands Qualifiers 3-16    *** Fast last quarters in all races indicates strong tail wind ***

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

2             1 LEXUS CODY                   3             Very strong

LEXUS CODY REPLAY

3             3 MY AUGUST MOON A 1             Seemed best of tough field

4             6 WON’T BACK DOWN    1             Under strong hold to wire

5             5 BET A BUNDLE               2             Ferocious close

BET A BUNDLE REPLAY

6             3 BIG SKEWY N                 1             Had more

1             6 SS TYS AFLYN                  1             Had more

1             8 CONGRESS HILL EVA     1             Moved way too late with trot

2             6 NITE TIME DEAL            1             Shuffled out and closed well

3             5 POWER DREAMIN N    1             Decent pace in the back of the field

4             4 SOUTHWIND PETYR     1             Responded to urging

Meadowlands 3-15

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             4 IN NEVADA N                 1             Never clear

4             10 TAKEMETOTHELMIT GB 1        Weave with pace

6             1 SAND SNIPER                 1             Lineup

6             2 KISSINBYTHEBEACHES 1             Blocked

6             4 DANDY IDEA                   1             Blocked

7             3 STAR TRACK HANOVER1             Blocked with some trot

7             5 MASSIVE MATTER         2             Made up a lot of ground in a short time

MASSIVE MATTER REPLAY

13           2 ABEL DE VIE                   2             Wins for fun if 2^nd over, raging late, winner after wire

ABEL DE VIE REPLAY

13           7 OH COFFEE BEAN         1             4-wide brush 1/8, then long 3-wide

Meadowlands 3-16

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             10 RANDOM HANOVER  1             3-wide passed 1/8, parked almost half

3             1 ECHO DE MAUTIS FR    1             Clear too late

3             3 GAELIHILL                       1             Clear too late with good trot

5             3 BUGABOO LOU             1             Clear too late

6             6 WARAWEE TOTAL          2             Blocked with plenty

WARAWEE TOTAL REPLAY

6             7 BUDDY HILL                   1             3-wide almost to the quarter

7             1 CAPTAIN FANCY             1             Blocked with pace

7             10 LITE N SWEET              1             Blocked with pace

7             9 BETTOR NOT TALK        1             Very wide 1/8

9             1 ALTA BLUES A                 1             Broke in tight quarters while trying to go on

9             6 BRUTALLYHANDSOME A 1         Shied away from breaker, came on

9             8 COMMANDING OFFICER 1        Shied away from breaker

12           5 REVOLVER N                  1             Clear too late

14           8 MINDTRIP                       1             4-wide, 3-wide almost quarter

Freehold  3-15                         

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             7 UNNREAL                       1             Weave widest with most pace

5             7 MASTER BLUE                1             Blocked with trot

7             2 ASHTINI                           2             Clear too late with pace

ASHTINI REPLAY

10           2 T H MRS MCMURRY     1             Break cause by whip

10           3 JIN BAG                           1             Look good before interference break

Freehold  3-16                                

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             1 WHATA TWIST               1             Out-in-out in stretch, then race ended

2             8 DARK HORSE                  1             Never clear between

4             1 ON DAYBOO                   1             Long hard brush to top, game late

5             2 TRAIN                              -1           Benefitted from trip

TRAIN REPLAY

6             7 HAGGARD                       1             Blocked with pace

8             8 BONDI SHAKE N            1             Blocked

12           8 COUNT MARA                3             3-wide 1^st turn, 3-wide last q, 4-wide last turn, kept coming

COUNT MARA REPLAY

by Gil Winston, for Harnesslink