Gil Winston Big M and Freehold analysis
The objective of this analysis is to identify harness racing horses via plus or minus scores that are not identifiable in the past performances. Horses whose races are accurately captured in the past performances are not captured here, regardless of how well or poorly they may have raced.
Consider all races without comment as WUSIWUG – an acronym for What U See (in past performances) Is What U Get. Some races may identify multiple horses that are scored, while other races are clearly defined in the past performances, and no horse is scored. These unscored horses all had clearance in the pivotal part of the stretch, and no uncharted exertion earlier.
Scores do not indicate must-bet or must-toss the next time they race as other handicapping factors come into play. But these scores give the bettor a huge edge in what is frequently the most important factor when making betting decisions and many scored horses have been coming in with generous payouts in their next races.
The highest $2 win payout was for VANDALISM who paid $188 for a $2 wager on 12-29 at The Meadowlands. He had been scored with “clear too late with some pace” in his previous start there. (HARNESSLINK.COM article published 12-29) That was the biggest price, but there have been many long prices. There have been a number of cold exactas, and two cold trifectas when three scored horses ended up in the same race.
You cannot assume scored horses will race the following week. Here is the best way to profit from this analysis. On the day you are wagering on races, and see Freehold or Meadowlands in the past performances, go to here. This will open up the list of all articles. For horses that show lines that pique your interest, find the article that analyzes the races for that day, then search for the horse. If the horse has a positive score, you know the horse is better than the pp line shows. Click on other weeks that the horse raced if the most recent race does not complete the story for you. This will give you access to all analysis.
Tracking shippers is not part of this analysis, but out-of-town winners are identified on occasion.
This week’s winners that were identified in previous analyses
Oak Grove 5-13 Race 6 MAMBACITA $ 2.68 Third straight win after +2 score in M’lands qualifier
M’lands 5-17 Race 9 SUNSHINE’S FINEST $11.40 Scored on 5-4 in amateur race, amateur driver faced A drivers in next, back in amateur races here.
*M’lands 5-18 Race 1 LOCAL HONEY $32.40 Scored on his first qualifier, won second qualifier by 9 lengths.
LOCAL HONEY REPLAY
*M’lands 5-18 Race 3 SPY COAST $ 2.40 Scored on his first qualifier, won second qualifier by 9 lengths.
*M’lands 5-18 Race 5 CAVIART BELLE $ 3.60 Scored +3 in her first qualifier, +2 in her second qualifier.
*That’s 3 parts of the pick-5. Hopefully, some of you included the other two horses in the pick-5 which paid $8,414 for twenty cents. Handicapping note: The winner of the second leg, BRIGHT STAR, who paid $56 to win, shows a second-place finish in his qualifier to T C I, the only horse who ever beat KARL.
M’lands 5-18 Race 8 4 GLAMOROUS HANOVER $19.40 Singled out in last week’s qualifier analysis as trotting the fastest last quarter of the day.
*M’lands 5-18 Race13 PANTORAN $ 3.00 Dead Heat Scored +2 in qualifier with an incredible last 1/8. Second choice at 8-5.
*M’lands 5-18 Race 13 WATERFALL $ 5.20 Dead Heat Scored in qualifier, then scored again in last race due to very weak effort by driver. Went off at 5-1.
*As ice cold as you can get with the dead heat. Exactas paid $10 and $25
WATERFALL REPLAY
Harrah’s Phila 5-19 Race 5 RUTHLESS HANOVER $ 3.60 Scored +2 in M’lands qualifier
Meadowlands Qualifiers 5-18
Young horses will be shipping everywhere. Worth tracking.
*** Pace Fastest qualifier MAXIM HANOVER 1:50.2
*** Pace Fastest last quarter MAXIM HANOVER :26.3
*** Trot Fastest qualifier T C I 1:53.2
*** Trot Fastest last quarter OH WELL :26.1
Race Horse Score Analysis
1 4 VICTOR LASZLO 1 Accelerated when clear in midstretch
6 1 NICHOLAS BEACH 2 Overloaded with pace, blocked
NICHOLAS BEACH REPLAY
Meadowlands Racing 5-17
Race Horse Score Analysis
1 3 FINAL JUSTICE 1 Clear too late, weave with pace
1 8 HARRY HANOVER 2 4-wide most of 1q, 3-wide almost 3/8 mile
2 9 POCAHONTAS DU LAC 2 4-wide to 3-wide most of 1q, pace at end of mile
5 3 KEEP US HAPPY 1 Lost a lot of ground on last turn
5 9 STOLEN ART 1 3-wide most of 1st quarter
6 4 BOBCAT RAY 1 Clear too late, had more
7 1 STOP STARING 1 Used too hard in first quarter
8 1 TARRIFIC 1 Blocked with pace
8 1 BATH BOMB 1 Clear too late, winner after wire
9 9 YAYAS HOT SPOT N 1 4-wide to 3-wide most of 1st q, checked, wide before stretch
9 10 WAY TO CLOSE 3 5-wide to 3-wide most of 1st q, checked with traffic issues before stretch, came on
WAY TO CLOSE REPLAY
11 1 CANNERY ROW 1 Blocked with pace
11 5 SHAKE IT TWICE 1 Wide most of quarter, then hard brush to top
11 9 QUEEN SUN RYSER 1 No clearance with pace
QUEEN SUN RYSER REPLAY
13 7 FLY BY 1 Most trot in lane
14 4 SOLANGE HANOVER 1 Significant trot in tight quarters
Meadowlands Racing 5-18
Race Horse Score Analysis
1 2 COOL MA BELLE 1 Most trot the last 1/16th
6 5 GRAND CAYMAN 1 Seemed to have a little more behind 2nd place finisher
7 2 DECISION DAY 1 Good pace when clear
7 10 HUNT FOR CASH 1 Hard wide first 1/8
11 3 PERICULUM 1 Looked like he was ready to accelerate when he broke
12 1 BELMONT ROYALE N 1 Gaining in tight quarters
12 3 ALLYWAG HANOVER 1 Clear too late, winner after wire.
12 9 BACKSTREET SHADOW 1 Hard wide first eighth
13 1 PANTORAN 1 Raced greenly, expect big improvement during Svanstedt education process
13 5 WATERFALL 1 Checked, then accelerated
14 9 AIR GUITAR 2 Lost all chance when 3-wide then behind clogger
14 10 BUCKEYE EMERY 1 Hard wide first 1/8
Freehold Racing 5-17
Race Horse Score Analysis
1 2 GOINROUNDNCIRCLES 1 Cut off in stretch by drifting pacesetter
1 4 BROOKDALE MSGGIE 1 Drove into Blindswitch at q, never clear
3 2 TWIN B SOLITAIRE 1 Used before 1q and before 3q
3 8 EEATAAMS TRAUMA 1 3-wide almost to quarter, 3-wide around tired horse after 5/8
4 8 UNCONTROLLED 3 Wide early, then probable winner if not pushed off track by 2-horse.
5 3 PARODY 1 3-wide first turn
5 4 LA MAGIC 1 Clear too late with trot
5 8 FASHION FORVER 1 Clear too late with trot
6 2 DON’T TRIP -1 Clear late, but little pace
6 3 EA MUSHU 1 Clear too late, never extended
6 8 ROCKFORD PEACH 2 Blindswitch, plenty of pace
ROCKFORD BEACH REPLAY
7 3 AINTNOSUNSHINE 1 Clear too late with pace
7 8 LEGATO 1 Closing well before bumping wheels with 7-horse.
8 1 NOTMEITSYOU 1 Shuffled out, race over before clear
Freehold Racing 5-18
Race Horse Score Analysis
1 1 COUNT MARA 1 Shuffled out, good pace when clear
5 3 GENTLEMENS ATTITUDE 1 Good recovery after ix.
5 6 CENTURY FURY 2 Interfered on first and last turn
5 8 ARCHETTO HANOVER 1 Interfered on first turn, Blindswitch, chart wrong, only beaten a few lengths
ARCHETTO HANOVER REPLAY
6 6 KID DID IT 1 Blocked between
8 6 GOTAFOOLISHDESIRE 1 Shuffled, good recovery
9 6 BARGAIN SHOPPER 1 Blocked inside
9 7 ON ACCIDENT 1 Long 3-wide move, kept coming
9 8 IGNATIUS A 2 Blindswitch, then most pace on the outside
11 4 LANDIA N 1 Blindswitch, closed well
11 6 BEERTHIRTY K 3 Spot the field 15 lengths before start, 3-wide entire last half
BEERTHIRTY K REPLAY
by Gil Winston, for Harnesslink
- Categories
- USA, Top 4
- Tags
- Freehold Raceway, Gil Winston, The Meadowlands, United States Harness Racing
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