Gil Winston: Big M & Freehold analysis
The objective of this analysis is to identify harness racing horses via plus or minus scores that are not identifiable in the past performances. Horses whose races are accurately captured in the past performances are not captured here, regardless of how well or poorly they may have raced.
Consider all races without comment as WUSIWUG – an acronym for What U See (in past performances) Is What U Get. Some races may identify multiple horses that are scored, while other races are clearly defined in the past performances, and no horse is scored. These unscored horses all had clearance in the pivotal part of the stretch, and no uncharted exertion earlier.
Scores do not indicate must-bet or must-toss the next time they race as other handicapping factors come into play. But these scores give the bettor a huge edge in what is frequently the most important factor when making betting decisions and many scored horses have been coming in with generous payouts in their next races.
The highest $2 win payout was for VANDALISM who paid $188 for a $2 wager on 12-29 at The Meadowlands. He had been scored with “clear too late with some pace” in his previous start there. (HARNESSLINK.COM article published 12-29) That was the biggest price, but there have been many more long prices (including cold exactas, and this weekend was the second cold trifecta when three scored horses ended up in the same race).
You cannot assume scored horses will race the following week. Here is the best way to profit from this analysis. On the day you are wagering on races, and see Freehold or Meadowlands in the past performances, click here. This will open up the list of all articles. For horses that show lines that pique your interest, find the article that analyzes the races for that day, then search for the horse. If the horse has a positive score, you know the horse is better than the pp line shows. Click on other weeks that the horse raced if the most recent race does not complete the story for you. This will give you access to all analysis.
Tracking shippers is not part of this analysis, but out-of-town winners will be identified on occasion.
This week’s winners that were identified in previous analyses
Freehold 5-3 Race 4 CUTTING HUMOR $ 6.40 Scored in last
Freehold 5-3 Race 10 SWEET MOVES $ 3.60 Scored +2 in last
M’lands 5-3 Race 2 WELLINGTON HANOVER $ 6.80 Scored +2 in qualifier as “much the best”
Freehold 5-4 Race 13 WALTS NATTY DATTY $ 3.00 Scored +2 in last
Harrah’s Phila 5-5 Race 7 ADAM CROCKER A $ 5.00 Fourth win after being scored.
Meadowlands Qualifiers 5-3
Young horses will be shipping everywhere. Worth tracking.
*** Pace Fastest qualifier ABUCKABETT HANOVER 1:50.4
*** Pace Fastest last quarter ABUCKABETT HANOVER :25.3
*** Trot Fastest qualifier WINNER’S BET 1:52.3
*** Trot Fastest last quarter PANTORAN :25.4
Race Horse Score Analysis
2 2 WATERFALL 1 Blocked with pace behind winner
5 6 MY GIRL EJ 1 Followed winer home with pace
6 6 FLASH MOVE 1 Followed dead cover, then paced strong
8 4 VIKI HILL 1 Most pace at wire
10 1 LOCAL HONEY 1 Blocked with trot
12 4 DOMINION DAY 1 Blocked along cones
13 7 HUNTINGFORCHROME 1 Blocked with more
15 2 PANTORAN 2 Incredible last eighth for a trotter
PANTORAN REPLAY
Meadowlands Racing 5-3
Race Horse Score Analysis
3 7 SELECT FRIDAY 1 Never clear
6 1 SPY COAST 2 Expect big things from this filly in the Burke barn. Looked like a good one last year with her early 2yo races.
SPY COAST REPLAY
9 6 ROBBIE BURNS N 1 Clear too late with pace, winner after wire (2nd straight score)
11 5 CENTURY JAMILA 1 Blocked with pace
11 9 MISS LIMELIGHT N 1 Clear too late along cones, gained when clear
11 10 PATTYCAKE MOOSS 1 Blocked with pace
12 4 BUCKEYE EMERY 1 Tight quarters between
Meadowlands Racing 5-4
Race Horse Score Analysis
1 9 SUNSHINE’S FINEST 1 The most pace when clear
8 5 SHAZAM BLUE CHIP 1 Clear too late with pace; did not pass winner after wire
9 9 MR THREE O FIVE 2 Very fast last 1/16
10 5 GRAND CAYMAN 2 Clear too late with the most pace
11 5 WARRAWEE TOTAL 1 Behind dead cover, good late
12 8 VOUKEFALAS 2 Amazing last sixteenth
VOUKEFALAS REPLAY
14 2 CAPTAIN BAZINGA 1 Blocked with pace
Freehold Racing 5-3
Race Horse Score Analysis
1 6 EA MUSHU 1 3-wide entire first turn
2 7 MIA OF NY 2 3-wide most of 1st quarter, parked almost 3/8
3 7 BOASTER COASTER 2 Wide first turn, first over more than 5/8 mile, kept coming
BOASTER COASTER REPLAY
5 3 PARODY 1 Lost momentum after bumping wheels, winner after wire
7 7 UNCLE COZ 1 Most pace in the lane
7 8 AINTNOSUNSHIE 1 Pushed very wide last turn
Freehold Racing 5-4
Race Horse Score Analysis
2 6 GAIUS CRASTINUS 1 3-wide most of 1st turn
2 8 TIE YOUR SHOE ED 2 3-wide from ½ passed ¾
3 8 ALL RISE 3 4-wide almost entire quarter, parked 3/8. Game
ALL RISE REPLAY
10 1 STOCKHOLM HANOVER -2 Finished 3rd because the rest of the field broke.
by Gil Winston, for Harnesslink
- Categories
- USA, Top 4
- Tags
- Freehold Raceway, Gil Winston, The Meadowlands, United States Harness Racing
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